Artificial Intelligence Timeline

5 février 2024Artificial intelligence (AI)

The History of Artificial Intelligence Science in the News

It could lead to a change at the scale of the two earlier major transformations in human history, the agricultural and industrial revolutions. Large AIs called recommender systems determine what you see on social media, which products are shown to you in online shops, and what gets recommended to you on YouTube. Increasingly they are not just recommending the media we consume, but based on their capacity to https://chat.openai.com/ generate images and texts, they are also creating the media we consume. It was built by Claude Shannon in 1950 and was a remote-controlled mouse that was able to find its way out of a labyrinth and could remember its course.1 In seven decades, the abilities of artificial intelligence have come a long way. This is a timeline of artificial intelligence, sometimes alternatively called synthetic intelligence.

In 1943, Warren S. McCulloch, an American neurophysiologist, and Walter H. Pitts Jr, an American logician, introduced the Threshold Logic Unit, marking the inception of the first mathematical model for an artificial neuron. Their model could mimic a biological neuron by receiving external inputs, processing them, and providing an output, as a function of input, thus completing the information processing cycle. Although this was a basic model with limited capabilities, it later became the fundamental component of artificial neural networks, giving birth to neural computation and deep learning fields – the crux of contemporary AI methodologies. In the context of intelligent machines, Minsky perceived the human brain as a complex mechanism that can be replicated within a computational system, and such an approach could offer profound insights into human cognitive functions. His notable contributions to AI include extensive research into how we can augment “common sense” into machines. This essentially meant equipping machines with knowledge learned by human beings, something now referred to as “training,” an AI system.

The Enigma and the Bombe machine subsequently formed the bedrock of machine learning theory. Today's tangible developments -- some incremental, some disruptive -- are advancing AI's ultimate goal of achieving artificial general intelligence. Along these lines, neuromorphic processing shows promise in mimicking human brain cells, enabling computer programs to work simultaneously instead of sequentially. Amid these and other mind-boggling advancements, issues of trust, privacy, transparency, accountability, ethics and humanity have emerged and will continue to clash and seek levels of acceptability among business and society. Google researchers developed the concept of transformers in the seminal paper "Attention Is All You Need," inspiring subsequent research into tools that could automatically parse unlabeled text into large language models (LLMs).

The close relationship between these ideas suggested that it might be possible to construct an "electronic brain". Learn about the significant milestones of AI development, from cracking the Enigma code in World War II to fully autonomous vehicles driving the streets of major cities. The conception of the Turing test, first, and the coining of the term, later, made artificial intelligence recognized as an independent field of research, thus giving a new definition of technology.

• This May, we introduced PaLM 2, our next generation large language model that has improved multilingual, reasoning and coding capabilities.
• There may be evidence that Moore’s law is slowing down a tad, but the increase in data certainly hasn’t lost any momentum.
• Alan Turing's theory of computation showed that any form of computation could be described digitally.
• This meeting was the beginning of the "cognitive revolution" -- an interdisciplinary paradigm shift in psychology, philosophy, computer science and neuroscience.
• His contributions resulted in considerable early progress in this approach and have permanently transformed the realm of AI.

With our AI Principles to guide us as we take a bold and responsible approach to AI, we’re already at work on Gemini, our next model built to enable future advancements in our next 25 years. According to McCarthy and colleagues, it would be enough to describe in detail any feature of human learning, and then give this information to a machine, built to simulate them. McCarthy wanted a new neutral term that Chat PG could collect and organize these disparate research efforts into a single field, focused on developing machines that could simulate every aspect of intelligence. "Can machines think?" is the opening line of the article Computing Machinery and Intelligence that Alan Turing wrote for Mind magazine in 1950. He tries to deepen the theme of what, only six years later, would be called Artificial Intelligence.

Birth of artificial intelligence (1941-

The agencies which funded AI research (such as the British government, DARPA and NRC) became frustrated with the lack of progress and eventually cut off almost all funding for undirected research into AI. The pattern began as early as 1966 when the ALPAC report appeared criticizing machine translation efforts. This meeting was the beginning of the "cognitive revolution" -- an interdisciplinary paradigm shift in psychology, philosophy, computer science and neuroscience. It inspired the creation of the sub-fields of symbolic artificial intelligence, generative linguistics, cognitive science, cognitive psychology, cognitive neuroscience and the philosophical schools of computationalism and functionalism.

In principle, a chess-playing computer could play by searching exhaustively through all the available moves, but in practice this is impossible because it would involve examining an astronomically large number of moves. Although Turing experimented with designing chess programs, he had to content himself with theory in the absence of a computer to run his chess program. The first true AI programs had to await the arrival of stored-program electronic first use of ai digital computers. The business community's fascination with AI rose and fell in the 1980s in the classic pattern of an economic bubble. As dozens of companies failed, the perception was that the technology was not viable.[178] However, the field continued to make advances despite the criticism. Numerous researchers, including robotics developers Rodney Brooks and Hans Moravec, argued for an entirely new approach to artificial intelligence.

The initial enthusiasm towards the field of AI that started in the 1950s with favorable press coverage was short-lived due to failures in NLP, limitations of neural networks and finally, the Lighthill report. The winter of AI started right after this report was published and lasted till the early 1980s. Yehoshua Bar-Hillel, an Israeli mathematician and philosopher, voiced his doubts about the feasibility of machine translation in the late 50s and 60s. He argued that for machines to translate accurately, they would need access to an unmanageable amount of real-world information, a scenario he dismissed as impractical and not worth further exploration. Before the advent of big data, cloud storage and computation as a service, developing a fully functioning NLP system seemed far-fetched and impractical.

This period of slow advancement, starting in the 1970s, was termed the “silent decade” of machine translation. He profoundly impacted the industry with his pioneering work on computational logic. He significantly advanced the symbolic approach, using complex representations of logic and thought. His contributions resulted in considerable early progress in this approach and have permanently transformed the realm of AI.

Marvin Minsky and Dean Edmonds developed the first artificial neural network (ANN) called SNARC using 3,000 vacuum tubes to simulate a network of 40 neurons. However, this automation remains far from human intelligence in the strict sense, which makes the name open to criticism by some experts. The "strong" AI, which has only yet materialized in science fiction, would require advances in basic research (not just performance improvements) to be able to model the world as a whole. The development of metal–oxide–semiconductor (MOS) very-large-scale integration (VLSI), in the form of complementary MOS (CMOS) technology, enabled the development of practical artificial neural network technology in the 1980s.

You can foun additiona information about ai customer service and artificial intelligence and NLP. During the 1990s and 2000s, many of the landmark goals of artificial intelligence had been achieved. In 1997, reigning world chess champion and grand master Gary Kasparov was defeated by IBM’s Deep Blue, a chess playing computer program. This highly publicized match was the first time a reigning world chess champion loss to a computer and served as a huge step towards an artificially intelligent decision making program.

IBM's Deep Blue defeated Garry Kasparov in a historic chess rematch, the first defeat of a reigning world chess champion by a computer under tournament conditions. Edward Feigenbaum, Bruce G. Buchanan, Joshua Lederberg and Carl Djerassi developed the first expert system, Dendral, which assisted organic chemists in identifying unknown organic molecules. The data produced by third parties and made available by Our World in Data is subject to the license terms from the original third-party authors. We will always indicate the original source of the data in our documentation, so you should always check the license of any such third-party data before use and redistribution. The circle’s position on the horizontal axis indicates when the AI system was built, and its position on the vertical axis shows the amount of computation used to train the particular AI system. The wide range of listed applications makes clear that this is a very general technology that can be used by people for some extremely good goals — and some extraordinarily bad ones, too.

The brief history of artificial intelligence: the world has changed fast — what might be next?

We started with Arabic to English and English to Arabic translations, but today Google Translate supports 133 languages spoken by millions of people around the world. This technology can translate text, images or even a conversation in real time, breaking down language barriers across the global community, helping people communicate and expanding access to information like never before. Google demonstrates its Duplex AI, a digital assistant that can make appointments via telephone calls with live humans. Duplex uses natural language understanding, deep learning and text-to-speech capabilities to understand conversational context and nuance in ways no other digital assistant has yet matched.

Neural probabilistic language models have played a significant role in the development of artificial intelligence. Building upon the foundation laid by Alan Turing's groundbreaking work on computer intelligence, these models have allowed machines to simulate human thought and language processing. The next big step in the evolution of neural networks happened in July 1958, when the US Navy showcased the IBM 704, a room-sized, 5-ton computer that could learn to distinguish between punch cards marked on either side through image recognition techniques.

This blog will look at key technological advancements and noteworthy individuals leading this field during the first AI summer, which started in the 1950s and ended during the early 70s. We provide links to articles, books, and papers describing these individuals and their work in detail for curious minds. In business, 55% of organizations that have deployed AI always consider AI for every new use case they're evaluating, according to a 2023 Gartner survey. By 2026, Gartner reported, organizations that "operationalize AI transparency, trust and security will see their AI models achieve a 50% improvement in terms of adoption, business goals and user acceptance." Groove X unveiled a home mini-robot called Lovot that could sense and affect mood changes in humans.

We haven’t gotten any smarter about how we are coding artificial intelligence, so what changed? It turns out, the fundamental limit of computer storage that was holding us back 30 years ago was no longer a problem. Moore’s Law, which estimates that the memory and speed of computers doubles every year, had finally caught up and in many cases, surpassed our needs.

OpenAI introduced the Dall-E multimodal AI system that can generate images from text prompts. Open AI released the GPT-3 LLM consisting of 175 billion parameters to generate humanlike text models. Microsoft launched the Turing Natural Language Generation generative language model with 17 billion parameters. Diederik Kingma and Max Welling introduced variational autoencoders to generate images, videos and text. Peter Brown et al. published "A Statistical Approach to Language Translation," paving the way for one of the more widely studied machine translation methods.

The programming of such knowledge actually required a lot of effort and from 200 to 300 rules, there was a "black box" effect where it was not clear how the machine reasoned. Development and maintenance thus became extremely problematic and - above all - faster and in many other less complex and less expensive ways were possible. It should be recalled that in the 1990s, the term artificial intelligence had almost become taboo and more modest variations had even entered university language, such as "advanced computing".

For this purpose, we are building a repository of AI-related metrics, which you can find on OurWorldinData.org/artificial-intelligence. Virtual assistants, operated by speech recognition, have entered many households over the last decade. The series begins with an image from 2014 in the top left, a primitive image of a pixelated face in black and white. As the first image in the second row shows, just three years later, AI systems were already able to generate images that were hard to differentiate from a photograph. It was with the advent of the first microprocessors at the end of 1970 that AI took off again and entered the golden age of expert systems. Since 2010, however, the discipline has experienced a new boom, mainly due to the considerable improvement in the computing power of computers and access to massive quantities of data.

For such “dual-use technologies”, it is important that all of us develop an understanding of what is happening and how we want the technology to be used. AI systems also increasingly determine whether you get a loan, are eligible for welfare, or get hired for a particular job. SAINT could solve elementary symbolic integration problems, involving the manipulation of integrals in calculus, at the level of a college freshman. The program was tested on a set of 86 problems, 54 of which were drawn from the MIT freshman calculus examinations final. Herbert Simon, economist and sociologist, prophesied in 1957 that the AI would succeed in beating a human at chess in the next 10 years, but the AI then entered a first winter.

A common problem for recurrent neural networks is the vanishing gradient problem, which is where gradients passed between layers gradually shrink and literally disappear as they are rounded off to zero. There have been many methods developed to approach this problem, such as Long short-term memory units. The history of artificial intelligence (AI) began in antiquity, with myths, stories and rumors of artificial beings endowed with intelligence or consciousness by master craftsmen.

In 1961, for his dissertation, Slagle developed a program called SAINT (symbolic automatic integrator), which is acknowledged to be one of the first “expert systems” — a computer system that can emulate the decision-making ability of a human expert. The path was actually opened at MIT in 1965 with DENDRAL (expert system specialized in molecular chemistry) and at Stanford University in 1972 with MYCIN (system specialized in the diagnosis of blood diseases and prescription drugs). These systems were based on an "inference engine," which was programmed to be a logical mirror of human reasoning.

History of Artificial Intelligence

ELIZA operates by recognizing keywords or phrases from the user input to reproduce a response using those keywords from a set of hard-coded responses. Arthur Samuel developed Samuel Checkers-Playing Program, the world's first program to play games that was self-learning. We are still in the early stages of this history, and much of what will become possible is yet to come.

In the last few years, AI systems have helped to make progress on some of the hardest problems in science. In the future, we will see whether the recent developments will slow down — or even end — or whether we will one day read a bestselling novel written by an AI. How rapidly the world has changed becomes clear by how even quite recent computer technology feels ancient today. As we celebrate our birthday, here’s a look back at how our products have evolved over the past 25 years — and how our search for answers will drive even more progress over the next quarter century.

A technological development as powerful as this should be at the center of our attention. Little might be as important for how the future of our world — and the future of our lives — will play out. When you book a flight, it is often an artificial intelligence, no longer a human, that decides what you pay. When you get to the airport, it is an AI system that monitors what you do at the airport. And once you are on the plane, an AI system assists the pilot in flying you to your destination.

Machine learning algorithms also improved and people got better at knowing which algorithm to apply to their problem. Early demonstrations such as Newell and Simon’s General Problem Solver and Joseph Weizenbaum’s ELIZA showed promise toward the goals of problem solving and the interpretation of spoken language respectively. These successes, as well as the advocacy of leading researchers (namely the attendees of the DSRPAI) convinced government agencies such as the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) to fund AI research at several institutions.

McCarthy emphasized that while AI shares a kinship with the quest to harness computers to understand human intelligence, it isn’t necessarily tethered to methods that mimic biological intelligence. He proposed that mathematical functions can be used to replicate the notion of human intelligence within a computer. McCarthy created the programming language LISP, which became popular amongst the AI community of that time. These ideas played a key role in the growth of the Internet in its early days and later provided foundations for the concept of “Cloud Computing.” McCarthy founded AI labs at Stanford and MIT and played a key role in the initial research into this field. Cotra’s work is particularly relevant in this context as she based her forecast on the kind of historical long-run trend of training computation that we just studied. But it is worth noting that other forecasters who rely on different considerations arrive at broadly similar conclusions.

The government was particularly interested in a machine that could transcribe and translate spoken language as well as high throughput data processing. Even so, there are many problems that are common to shallow networks (such as overfitting) that deep networks help avoid.[228] As such, deep neural networks are able to realistically generate much more complex models as compared to their shallow counterparts. The introduction of TensorFlow, a new open source machine learning framework, made AI more accessible, scalable and efficient. It also helped accelerate the pace of AI research and development around the world. TensorFlow is now one of the most popular machine learning frameworks, and has been used to develop a wide range of AI applications, from image recognition to natural language processing to machine translation.

The strategic significance of big data technology is not to master huge data information, but to specialize in these meaningful data. In other words, if big data is likened to an industry, the key to realizing profitability in this industry is to increase the "process capability" of the data and realize the "value added" of the data through "processing". During the late 1970s and throughout the 1980s, a variety of logics and extensions of first-order logic were developed both for negation as failure in logic programming and for default reasoning more generally. It has the power to make your routine tasks easier and the power to help solve society’s biggest problems. As we celebrate our 25th birthday, we’re looking back at some of our biggest AI moments so far — and looking forward to even bigger milestones ahead of us.

The chart shows how we got here by zooming into the last two decades of AI development. The plotted data stems from a number of tests in which human and AI performance were evaluated in different domains, from handwriting recognition to language understanding. At Livermore, Slagle and his group worked on developing several programs aimed at teaching computer programs to use both deductive and inductive reasoning in their approach to problem-solving situations. One such program, MULTIPLE (MULTIpurpose theorem-proving heuristic Program that LEarns), was designed with the flexibility to learn “what to do next” in a wide-variety of tasks from problems in geometry and calculus to games like checkers.

By the 1950s, we had a generation of scientists, mathematicians, and philosophers with the concept of artificial intelligence (or AI) culturally assimilated in their minds. One such person was Alan Turing, a young British polymath who explored the mathematical possibility of artificial intelligence. Turing suggested that humans use available information as well as reason in order to solve problems and make decisions, so why can’t machines do the same thing? This was the logical framework of his 1950 paper, Computing Machinery and Intelligence in which he discussed how to build intelligent machines and how to test their intelligence. Computers could store more information and became faster, cheaper, and more accessible.

Still, the reputation of AI, in the business world at least, was less than pristine.[192] Inside the field there was little agreement on the reasons for AI's failure to fulfill the dream of human level intelligence that had captured the imagination of the world in the 1960s. We now live in the age of “big data,” an age in which we have the capacity to collect huge sums of information too cumbersome for a person to process. The application of artificial intelligence in this regard has already been quite fruitful in several industries such as technology, banking, marketing, and entertainment. We’ve seen that even if algorithms don’t improve much, big data and massive computing simply allow artificial intelligence to learn through brute force. There may be evidence that Moore’s law is slowing down a tad, but the increase in data certainly hasn’t lost any momentum. Breakthroughs in computer science, mathematics, or neuroscience all serve as potential outs through the ceiling of Moore’s Law.

As I show in my article on AI timelines, many AI experts believe that there is a real chance that human-level artificial intelligence will be developed within the next decades, and some believe that it will exist much sooner. Today faster computers and access to large amounts of data has enabled advances in machine learning and data-driven deep learning methods. The promises foresaw a massive development but the craze will fall again at the end of 1980, early 1990.

The period between 1940 and 1960 was strongly marked by the conjunction of technological developments (of which the Second World War was an accelerator) and the desire to understand how to bring together the functioning of machines and organic beings. For Norbert Wiener, a pioneer in cybernetics, the aim was to unify mathematical theory, electronics and automation as "a whole theory of control and communication, both in animals and machines". Just before, a first mathematical and computer model of the biological neuron (formal neuron) had been developed by Warren McCulloch and Walter Pitts as early as 1943. Foundation models, which are large language models trained on vast quantities of unlabeled data that can be adapted to a wide range of downstream tasks, began to be developed in 2018. Rockwell Anyoha is a graduate student in the department of molecular biology with a background in physics and genetics. Tensor Processing Units, or TPUs, are custom-designed silicon chips we specifically invented for machine learning and optimized for TensorFlow.

Stanford Research Institute developed Shakey, the world's first mobile intelligent robot that combined AI, computer vision, navigation and NLP. Artificial intelligence, or at least the modern concept of it, has been with us for several decades, but only in the recent past has AI captured the collective psyche of everyday business and society. Artificial intelligence has already changed what we see, what we know, and what we do. The AI systems that we just considered are the result of decades of steady advances in AI technology. Artificial intelligence is no longer a technology of the future; AI is here, and much of what is reality now would have looked like sci-fi just recently. It is a technology that already impacts all of us, and the list above includes just a few of its many applications.

PaLM 2 advances the future of AI

Contributing further to cognition, language comprehension, and visual perception as subfields of AI, Minsky pioneered the “Frame System Theory,” which proposed a method of knowledge representation within AI systems using a new form of a data structure called frames. Geoffrey Hinton, Ilya Sutskever and Alex Krizhevsky introduced a deep CNN architecture that won the ImageNet challenge and triggered the explosion of deep learning research and implementation. Fei-Fei Li started working on the ImageNet visual database, introduced in 2009, which became a catalyst for the AI boom and the basis of an annual competition for image recognition algorithms. Sepp Hochreiter and Jürgen Schmidhuber proposed the Long Short-Term Memory recurrent neural network, which could process entire sequences of data such as speech or video.

Among machine learning techniques, deep learning seems the most promising for a number of applications (including voice or image recognition). In 2003, Geoffrey Hinton (University of Toronto), Yoshua Bengio (University of Montreal) and Yann LeCun (University of New York) decided to start a research program to bring neural networks up to date. Experiments conducted simultaneously at Microsoft, Google and IBM with the help of the Toronto laboratory in Hinton showed that this type of learning succeeded in halving the error rates for speech recognition.

Five years later, the proof of concept was initialized through Allen Newell, Cliff Shaw, and Herbert Simon’s, Logic Theorist. The Logic Theorist was a program designed to mimic the problem solving skills of a human and was funded by Research and Development (RAND) Corporation. It’s considered by many to be the first artificial intelligence program and was presented at the Dartmouth Summer Research Project on Artificial Intelligence (DSRPAI) hosted by John McCarthy and Marvin Minsky in 1956. In this historic conference, McCarthy, imagining a great collaborative effort, brought together top researchers from various fields for an open ended discussion on artificial intelligence, the term which he coined at the very event. Sadly, the conference fell short of McCarthy’s expectations; people came and went as they pleased, and there was failure to agree on standard methods for the field.

• In the long term, the goal is general intelligence, that is a machine that surpasses human cognitive abilities in all tasks.
• These systems were based on an "inference engine," which was programmed to be a logical mirror of human reasoning.
• During the 1990s and 2000s, many of the landmark goals of artificial intelligence had been achieved.
• Samuel's work also led to the development of "machine learning" as a term to describe technological advancements in AI.
• Arthur Samuel developed Samuel Checkers-Playing Program, the world's first program to play games that was self-learning.
• The winter of AI started right after this report was published and lasted till the early 1980s.

Next, one of the participants, the man or the woman, is replaced by a computer without the knowledge of the interviewer, who in this second phase will have to guess whether he or she is talking to a human or a machine. To tell the story of "intelligent systems" and explain the AI meaning it is not enough to go back to the invention of the term. Elon Musk, Steve Wozniak and thousands more signatories urged a six-month pause on training "AI systems more powerful than GPT-4."

Rajat Raina, Anand Madhavan and Andrew Ng published "Large-Scale Deep Unsupervised Learning Using Graphics Processors," presenting the idea of using GPUs to train large neural networks. John McCarthy, Marvin Minsky, Nathaniel Rochester and Claude Shannon coined the term artificial intelligence in a proposal for a workshop widely recognized as a founding event in the AI field. The previous chart showed the rapid advances in the perceptive abilities of artificial intelligence.

by Sarah PINCE